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上一篇文章探討的是第一等交易員,對於新聞的處理,
接下來我們談談第二等的交易員,屬於「駕馭」新聞,
何謂駕馭?
一則新聞出來之後,你要能夠正確的解讀新聞背後的含意,
而不是單純的看到新聞的表面。
例如說:盤中突然宣布蘋果蘋果(NASDAQ:AAPL)執行長,
不幸真的到上帝那邊報到,你在盤中,還敢作多單嗎?

要看當時的LV2跟TAS的變化,通常你得到的消息或是新聞,
都不可能是第一手的,所以假設在你之前已經有至少三批人知道,
那是不是可以看到盤中的走勢一路都是走弱,
你拿多單連區區幾個tick都很難出,
那你是不是應該好好的想想,背後已經有一票人在累積空單了,
所以新聞通常一出,你應該毫不考慮去市價追空,
當然跟你的反應力跟速度都有關係,
如果你慢的跟烏龜一樣,那你也不用追了,
但是不要笨到去猜低點就好。


一位加拿大資深交易員跟畢德歐夫說,
如果蘋果(NASDAQ:AAPL)執行長真的掛掉,
圈子盛傳,單日可以跌掉30%以上...

很奇怪嗎?

美國股市沒有漲跌幅限制你不知道嗎?
一天股價從50美金跌到0.01,畢德歐夫都親眼見到過,
這有什麼好稀奇的,蘋果(NASDAQ:AAPL)的股價現在是350.56美金,
一手一天賺個幾千美金都有可能,所以你可以推測另一個方向,
競爭對手的股票是不是也會應聲大漲,
因為蘋果(NASDAQ:AAPL)的創意來源,有人說這根本是「一人公司」,
畢德歐夫不是蘋果(NASDAQ:AAPL)的員工,所以我不知道到底是不是這樣,
畢德歐夫只知道,全世界不同國家、人種、年紀、性別,
竟然可以都被「唉鳳」席捲,可見得賈伯斯真的是有一套,
前幾天一個好朋友去日本東京兩週回來,
他說原本他以為日本人應該都會用自家的品牌手機,
畢竟日本貨也是品質精良出名,結果竟然也是滿坑滿谷的的「唉鳳」,
讓他很驚訝蘋果的魅力竟然這麼巨大。

要正確解讀數據新聞並不容易,例如像是這則新聞:
「加拿大統計局今天表示,1月消費物價指數較去年同期上揚2.3%,
相較於去年12月年增2.4%。
扣除像是汽油等8種波動較大項目的核心通膨率減緩至1.4%,
相較於去年同期的1.5%。彭博調查的23位經濟師預測通膨率為2.4%,
22位經濟師預估核心通膨率為1.5%。」
市場如果預期的通膨數據比較低,但是開出來卻是比預期高,
大盤期貨的瞬間變動可能就是上沖下洗,然後緩步往上,
你必須要看的不是「絕對數據」,而是「相對數據」,
這麼多種數據最重要的就是美國聯準會(Fed),
每次不管是要宣布升息或是降息,總是會讓市場有劇烈的波動,
這就是要學會解讀市場數據新聞的能力,
畢德歐夫歸類為第二等交易員。

會「駕馭」新聞的交易員已經是很強的交易員,因為要每次正確解讀,
並不是很容易,一般來說,畢德歐夫對於一些新人交易員,
都會用第三等的方式,也就是「躲開」新聞,
你有上千上萬家公司,為什麼一定要去作「現在」「正在出新聞」的股票呢?
你是打算挑戰自己的能耐嗎?

同學,這不是在玩衝浪!
我們是在金錢遊戲當中進行搏殺!
懂嗎?

如果讀者覺得幣圖誌的版面很乾淨也讓你有學習到知識,
請多多點「讚」,謝謝大家的支持,幣圖誌會繼續努力下去。
下一篇消息面對於股票當沖的影響性及層次探討(三)

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