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DMI隨機指標



上星期,獵人分享了DMI與ADX的進場策略,雖然是眾所皆知的策略,但是它的變化與使用方式,卻不是每個人都知道。今天獵人要來介紹一個之前在雜誌上看到的DMI stochastic(FSDMI)指標的使用方式,大家可以拿來參考看看。

DMI Stochastic指標介紹


一般的技術指標常常會發生背離情況,
也就是說,當價格創新高(低),技術指標卻沒有創新高(低),
之後價格走勢往往會發生拉回修正的情況。
以DMI指標來說,當+DI與-DI勢均力敵的時候,
常常有可能是價格產生支撐與壓力線的時候,
因為這時候多空力道在拔河,
看哪一方贏過對方,價格才會往勝的一方走。
所以DMI指標要找出高低點似乎不是這麼容易。
因此作者提出了DMI Stochastic指標概念,簡稱FSDMI。
他認為這個指標能更快速、更有效率的進出場。
廢話不多說,馬上把這個指標介紹給大家。
首先先算出DMI(Len)=DI_Plus(Len)-DI_Minus(Len)
也就是正DI減去負DI。
再來找出某個週期(SRange)中,DMI的最大值與最小值,
可以使用Highest(DMI,SRange)找出DMI的最大值(Hd),
Lowest(DMI,SRange)找出DMI的最小值(Ld)。
接著重頭戲來了,這邊要做個一點點複雜的計算,
把N期的DMI-Ld與Hd-Ld分別加總,
也就是Sum(DMI-Ld,N)Sum(Hd-Ld,N)
最後把上面兩個式子相除再乘上100,
就可以得到DMI Stochastic為
100×[Sum(DMI-Ld,N)/ Sum(Hd-Ld,N)]
所以FSDMI有三個參數-Len、SRange、N
沒錯,上面這個公式就是這篇文章的重點,
然而獵人講述這個指標並不是完全因為它好用,
還有一個很大的原因是,這邊在計算指標的方式,
是有很大的參考價值。
常常有人說,為什麼獵人可以想出一些奇奇怪怪的東西,
我們沒有那麼多想法怎麼辦?
想法就是這樣來的,看到其他指標的計算方式,
很多都是可以拿來應用在其他的計算上面,
獵人認為這種計算方式還可以有很多的應用,
大家可以試試看,應該可以創造出一些屬於自己的指標。

DMI Stochastic進場方式


雖然這個指標也有超買區跟超賣區,
但是這個進場方式不同於其他的指標在於,
FSDMI是利用它由上往下穿越超買區時,要準備做空。
因為FSDMI往上突破超買區後,表示買氣已經到達頂點,
可能雖然都會往回修正,總不可能永遠一直漲吧!
同理,由下往上穿越超賣區時,要準備做多。
所以作者認為,這個指標能更快、更有效的抓到進出場點。
當然,作者的進場條件不只這樣,
他在做多上面還加了DMI必須大於0,
做空的話,DMI必須小於0。
以上是拉回的進場點。
作者把進場方式分成兩種,
另一個是當DMI由下往上穿越20時進場做多;
當DMI由上往下穿越-20時進場做空。
接著讓獵人把上面的進場方式寫成策略,看看跑出來的績效如何?
不過獵人在策略上有做些改變,請以下面策略為主。

規格與設定 -
• 交易型態:留倉
• 標的商品:台指期
• 週期設定:30分K線
• 回測時間:2002/1/1~2013/3/28
• 回測成本設定:$1000/來回
• 回測軟體:MultiCharts

交易規則-
1.
a.當DMI(Len)在0之上,而且FSDMI(Len,SRange,N)由下往上穿越10時,
啟動買進訊號。
當買進訊號啟動後,設定最近N根K棒的最高點為作多進場點。
b.當DMI(Len)大於20時,設定最近N根K棒的最高點為作多進場點。

2.
a.當DMI(Len)在0之下,而且FSDMI(Len,SRange,N)由上往下穿越90時,
啟動賣出訊號。
當賣出訊號啟動後,設定最近N根K棒的最低點為作空進場點。
b.當DMI(Len)小於-20時,設定最近N根K棒的最低點為作空進場點。
P.S.這邊所使用的DMI是DMIPLUS(Len)-DMIMINUS(Len)。

3. 結算日出場。
停損點設定為200點。
停利點設定為500點。

跑出來的績效表如下面所示:










結論


大家可以跟上星期的DMI指標比較看看,
這兩個策略看起來有點互補作用,
雖然最近幾年表現不太特出,但總體看來還算穩定。
本篇的FSDMI策略進場次數更是縮減到500多次而已,
最大連續虧損還是偏大的原因在於出場條件太少,
大家有興趣可以自己多加入一些其他的出場方式。
不過有一點要提醒大家,這個策略的結果是最佳化出來的,
所以大家可以去試試看自己想用的參數,獵人就暫不提供了。
主要還是想分享FSDMI指標的計算方式給大家參考,
讓大家可以得到不同的啟發而有其他的想法出現喔!
最後,大家認可這篇文章的話,也不要吝嗇分享出去給大家喔!



不同指標的計算公式都有它可以參考的地方喔!融合不同的指標,你也可以創造出屬於自己的指標喔!

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